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Magic vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, March 7

FinalTarget Center · Prime Video, FanDuel SN North, FanDuel SN FL
32% win ORLwin MIN 68%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin6.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-23) host the Orlando Magic (33-28) on Saturday, March 7 at 3:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 119 – Timberwolves 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 22-11 at home and the Magic are 13-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Timberwolves W5, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 111 Magic, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.0 / ORL +0.3 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+6.0

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Magic win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLMIN
113.2
Points scored / game
118.3
112.9
Points allowed / game
113.6
44.2 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
31.4 %
3-point %
38.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
75.0 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
51.6
26.0
Assists / game
27.0
7.8
Steals / game
9.2
4.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #330pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #34assists
Paolo BancheroF · #515rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #534pts / game
Bones HylandG · #84assists
Julius RandleF · #309rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ORLMIN
33-28Record40-23
113.2Points scored / game118.3
112.9Points allowed / game113.6
+0.3Adjusted margin / game+4.0
W2Current streakW5
6-4Last 10 games8-2
13-16 roadHome / road record22-11 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.