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Jazz vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
33% win UTAHwin NO 67%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin5.4
Projected total238
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-54) host the Utah Jazz (21-58) on Tuesday, April 7 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 137 – Pelicans 156. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 16-24 at home and the Jazz are 8-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Pelicans L8, Jazz L9).

The analysis Model

The Pelicans are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 122 – 116 Jazz, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' defense allows clearly fewer points (119.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -4.4 / UTAH -7.5 per game
+3.1
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
+5.4

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Jazz win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHNO
116.4
Points scored / game
114.2
125.3
Points allowed / game
119.3
45.4 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
33.9 %
3-point %
29.0 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.8
Assists / game
23.5
5.0
Steals / game
12.3
6.4
Blocks / game
4.8
17.0
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Jazz
Kennedy ChandlerG · #231pts / game
John KoncharG · #5510assists
John KoncharG · #5510rebounds
Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #040pts / game
Derik QueenC · #227assists
Derik QueenC · #2212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHNO
21-58Record25-54
116.4Points scored / game114.2
125.3Points allowed / game119.3
-7.5Adjusted margin / game-4.4
L9Current streakL8
1-9Last 10 games2-8
8-31 roadHome / road record16-24 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.