Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pelicans vs Jazz prediction NBA · Saturday, February 28

FinalDelta Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
49% win NOwin UTAH 51%
FavoriteUTAH
Projected margin0.4
Projected total238
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (18-41) host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-42) on Saturday, February 28 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 115 – Jazz 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Jazz a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 11-19 at home and the Pelicans are 7-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 5-5 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Jazz L4, Pelicans W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Jazz 120 – 119 Pelicans, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Jazz and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / NO -5.1 per game
-1.9
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
+0.4

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pelicans win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

NOUTAH
114.2
Points scored / game
116.9
120.2
Points allowed / game
125.1
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
29.0 %
3-point %
33.9 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
83.6 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
23.5
Assists / game
26.8
12.3
Steals / game
5.0
4.8
Blocks / game
6.4
16.5
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4124pts / game
Herbert JonesF · #27assists
Jeremiah FearsG · #011rebounds
Jazz
Isaiah CollierG · #821pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #87assists
Ace BaileyG · #198rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOUTAH
18-42Record18-41
114.2Points scored / game116.9
120.2Points allowed / game125.1
-5.1Adjusted margin / game-7.0
W3Current streakL4
5-5Last 10 games3-7
7-21 roadHome / road record11-19 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.