Timberwolves vs Pacers prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (18-60) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) on Tuesday, April 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 124 – Pacers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 11-27 at home and the Timberwolves are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Pacers L2, Timberwolves L3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 119 Timberwolves, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.8 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MININD
Top performers
Timberwolves
Ayo DosunmuG · #1324pts / game
Bones HylandG · #87assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsPacers
Ethan ThompsonG · #5517pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #55assistsJarace WalkerF · #56reboundsRecent form
MININD
IND
Team comparison
| MIN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-32 | Record | 18-60 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 120.0 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 21-17 road | Home / road record | 11-27 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.