76ers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Monday, April 6
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (59-20) host the Philadelphia 76ers (43-35) on Monday, April 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 102 – Spurs 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 29-7 at home and the 76ers are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Spurs L1, 76ers L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 120 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.6 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHISA
Top performers
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2134pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assistsJoel EmbiidC · #2112reboundsSpurs
Stephon CastleG · #519pts / gameStephon CastleG · #513assistsStephon CastleG · #510reboundsRecent form
PHISA
SA
Team comparison
| PHI | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-35 | Record | 59-20 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 21-17 road | Home / road record | 29-7 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.