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Spurs vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC, Peacock, NBC Sports Phil, FanDuel SN SW
57% win SAwin PHI 43%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin2.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (33-27) host the San Antonio Spurs (43-18) on Tuesday, March 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 131 – 76ers 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 16-15 at home and the Spurs are 22-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: 76ers L1, Spurs L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 114 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.6 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.6 / SA +3.8 per game
-4.4
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-2.1

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

SAPHI
117.2
Points scored / game
115.3
112.8
Points allowed / game
115.9
46.0 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
34.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
78.3 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
28.2
Assists / game
24.6
9.8
Steals / game
9.8
6.6
Blocks / game
5.6
12.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2422pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #510assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #39rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #021pts / game
Tyrese MartinG · #234assists
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SAPHI
43-18Record33-27
117.2Points scored / game115.3
112.8Points allowed / game115.9
+3.8Adjusted margin / game-0.6
L1Current streakL1
9-1Last 10 games4-6
22-12 roadHome / road record16-15 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.