Cavaliers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, April 6
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (25-53) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (49-29) on Monday, April 6 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 142 – Grizzlies 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 14-26 at home and the Cavaliers are 24-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Grizzlies and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Grizzlies L4, Cavaliers W2).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 114 – 119 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Grizzlies and the Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEMEM
Top performers
Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #424pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #1711assists
Jarrett AllenC · #319reboundsGrizzlies
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #1824pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #111assistsRecent form
CLEMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| CLE | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-29 | Record | 25-53 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 114.8 | Points allowed / game | 119.3 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 24-15 road | Home / road record | 14-26 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.