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Grizzlies vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 15

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SE, NBA TV
23% win MEMwin CLE 77%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin9.4
Projected total237
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (8-5) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-9) on Saturday, November 15 at 5:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 100 – Cavaliers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 4-2 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Grizzlies L3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 123 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 9.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.6 vs -1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (122.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +5.6 / MEM -1.5 per game
+7.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+9.4

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Grizzlies win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMCLE
117.1
Points scored / game
122.1
118.8
Points allowed / game
115.4
45.3 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
39.1 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
82.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.0
Assists / game
26.3
6.3
Steals / game
8.8
6.3
Blocks / game
7.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2026pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #05assists
Santi AldamaF · #3411rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #455assists
Evan MobleyC · #413rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MEMCLE
4-9Record8-5
117.1Points scored / game122.1
118.8Points allowed / game115.4
-1.5Adjusted margin / game+5.6
L3Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games6-4
1-4 roadHome / road record4-2 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.