Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Magic vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
57% win ORLwin NO 43%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin2.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-53) host the Orlando Magic (41-36) on Sunday, April 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Pelicans 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 16-23 at home and the Magic are 17-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pelicans and 3-7 for the Magic (current streaks: Pelicans L7, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pelicans 114 – 117 Magic, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.4 vs -0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -4.4 / ORL -0.0 per game
-4.4
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-2.1

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLNO
114.1
Points scored / game
114.3
114.1
Points allowed / game
119.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
31.4 %
3-point %
29.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
75.0 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.0
Assists / game
23.5
7.8
Steals / game
12.3
4.5
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #327pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #48assists
Paolo BancheroF · #516rebounds
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4132pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #07assists
Yves MissiC · #2113rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ORLNO
41-36Record25-53
114.1Points scored / game114.3
114.1Points allowed / game119.4
-0.0Adjusted margin / game-4.4
W1Current streakL7
3-7Last 10 games3-7
17-20 roadHome / road record16-23 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.