Pelicans vs Magic prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (21-18) host the New Orleans Pelicans (9-31) on Sunday, January 11 at 3:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 118 – Magic 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 12-7 at home and the Pelicans are 3-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 1-9 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Magic L1, Pelicans W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Magic dominate this matchup. The model projects Magic 120 – 111 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs -6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOORL
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #122pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #256assistsTrey Murphy IIIF · #257reboundsMagic
Desmond BaneG · #327pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Goga BitadzeC · #3513reboundsRecent form
NOORL
NO
Team comparison
| NO | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-31 | Record | 21-18 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 121.6 | Points allowed / game | 112.7 |
| -6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3-14 road | Home / road record | 12-7 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.