Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Hornets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN North, WSOC-TV Channel 9, NBA League Pass
41% win CHAwin MIN 59%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin2.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-31) host the Charlotte Hornets (42-36) on Sunday, April 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 122 – Timberwolves 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 25-14 at home and the Hornets are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 8-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Timberwolves L2, Hornets W3).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 116 – 113 Hornets, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +3.2 / CHA +2.7 per game
+0.4
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+2.7

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hornets win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAMIN
114.9
Points scored / game
117.2
111.7
Points allowed / game
113.4
41.7 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
30.6 %
3-point %
38.4 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
85.2 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
51.6
20.6
Assists / game
27.0
6.8
Steals / game
9.2
5.2
Blocks / game
4.4
19.0
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #135pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3026pts / game
Bones HylandG · #86assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHAMIN
42-36Record46-31
114.9Points scored / game117.2
111.7Points allowed / game113.4
+2.7Adjusted margin / game+3.2
W3Current streakL2
8-2Last 10 games5-5
21-17 roadHome / road record25-14 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.