Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Timberwolves vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN North Extra, NBA League Pass
66% win MINwin CHA 34%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin5.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (2-3) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-3) on Saturday, November 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 122 – Hornets 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 1-1 at home and the Timberwolves are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Hornets and 2-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Hornets L2, Timberwolves L2).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 111 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.6 vs +1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (114.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -5.6 / MIN +1.8 per game
-7.4
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-5.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Timberwolves win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

MINCHA
114.3
Points scored / game
110.7
112.1
Points allowed / game
117.2
47.3 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
38.4 %
3-point %
30.6 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
62.7 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
47.4
27.0
Assists / game
20.6
9.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.2
16.2
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3030pts / game
Jaden McDanielsF · #36assists
Rudy GobertC · #2715rebounds
Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2230pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MINCHA
2-3Record2-3
114.3Points scored / game110.7
112.1Points allowed / game117.2
+1.8Adjusted margin / game-5.6
L2Current streakL2
2-3Last 10 games2-3
1-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.