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Suns vs Bulls prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
43-35 · away
Final score
120-110
Projected: 117-114
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
29-49 · home
58% win PHXwin CHI 42%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin2.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (29-48) host the Phoenix Suns (42-35) on Sunday, April 5 at 3:30 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 120 – Bulls 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 18-21 at home and the Suns are 18-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bulls and 3-7 for the Suns (current streaks: Bulls L6, Suns L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 114 – 117 Suns, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -4.1 / PHX +0.8 per game
-4.9
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-2.6

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Suns win by 10+
28%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXCHI
112.9
Points scored / game
116.4
112.0
Points allowed / game
121.3
45.6 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
73.9 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.3
Assists / game
24.4
8.7
Steals / game
9.0
5.3
Blocks / game
4.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1530pts / game
Devin BookerG · #154assists
Mark WilliamsC · #258rebounds
Bulls
Tre JonesG · #3029pts / game
Tre JonesG · #306assists
Leonard MillerF · #1110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXCHI
42-35Record29-48
112.9Points scored / game116.4
112.0Points allowed / game121.3
+0.8Adjusted margin / game-4.1
L2Current streakL6
3-7Last 10 games2-8
18-20 roadHome / road record18-21 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.