Bulls vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (35-26) host the Chicago Bulls (25-37) on Thursday, March 5 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 105 – Suns 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 20-12 at home and the Bulls are 9-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 1-9 for the Bulls (current streaks: Suns W2, Bulls L1).
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 118 – 112 Bulls, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bulls' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHIPHX
Top performers
Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1030pts / game
Collin SextonG · #105assists
Nick RichardsC · #811rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1527pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #88assists
Ryan DunnF · #011reboundsRecent form
CHI
PHXTeam comparison
| CHI | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-37 | Record | 35-26 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 119.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.1 |
| -3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-19 road | Home / road record | 20-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.6) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
CHI