Magic vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, April 3
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (24-52) host the Orlando Magic (40-36) on Friday, April 3 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 138 – Mavericks 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 14-24 at home and the Magic are 16-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 2-8 for the Magic (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Magic L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 114 – 116 Magic, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.3 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLDAL
Top performers
Magic
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3428pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #49assists
Desmond BaneG · #37reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3251pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #125assists
Ryan NembhardG · #97reboundsRecent form
ORLDAL
DAL
Team comparison
| ORL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-36 | Record | 24-52 |
| 113.8 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 113.9 | Points allowed / game | 118.6 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 16-20 road | Home / road record | 14-24 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.