Mavericks vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (32-28) host the Dallas Mavericks (21-40) on Thursday, March 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 114 – Magic 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 19-12 at home and the Mavericks are 7-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Magic W1, Mavericks L4).
The analysis Model
The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 117 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALORL
Top performers
Mavericks
Klay ThompsonG · #1124pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #227assists
Daniel GaffordF · #2113reboundsMagic
Tristan da SilvaF · #2319pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #47assists
Paolo BancheroF · #512reboundsRecent form
DALORL
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-40 | Record | 32-28 |
| 113.6 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| -3.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| L4 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 7-21 road | Home / road record | 19-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.