Raptors vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, April 3
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (25-51) host the Toronto Raptors (42-34) on Friday, April 3 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 128 – Grizzlies 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 14-25 at home and the Raptors are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Raptors L2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 116 Raptors, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORMEM
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #236assists
Ja'Kobe WalterG · #148reboundsGrizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4530pts / game
Javon SmallG · #104assistsRecent form
TORMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| TOR | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-34 | Record | 25-51 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.1 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.7 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 21-17 road | Home / road record | 14-25 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.