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Grizzlies vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, November 2

FinalScotiabank Arena · Sportsnet, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
3-4 · away
Final score
104-117
Projected: 119-116
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
3-4 · home
60% win MEMwin TOR 40%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.0
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (2-4) host the Memphis Grizzlies (3-3) on Sunday, November 2 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 104 – Raptors 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 0-2 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-4 for the Raptors and 3-3 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Raptors W1, Grizzlies L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 116 – 119 Grizzlies, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.4 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR -3.4 / MEM +1.9 per game
-5.3
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
-3.0

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMTOR
120.8
Points scored / game
113.9
118.6
Points allowed / game
117.9
45.3 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
39.1 %
3-point %
30.4 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
82.8 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
45.8
25.0
Assists / game
27.3
6.3
Steals / game
14.3
6.3
Blocks / game
5.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2020pts / game
Cedric CowardF · #235assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #209rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #927pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assists
Scottie BarnesF · #412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

TOR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MEMTOR
3-3Record2-4
120.8Points scored / game113.9
118.6Points allowed / game117.9
+1.9Adjusted margin / game-3.4
L1Current streakW1
3-3Last 10 games2-4
1-1 roadHome / road record0-2 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.