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Bulls vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, April 3

FinalMadison Square Garden · CHSN, MSG, DAZN (MSG), NBA TV
19% win CHIwin NY 81%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin11.1
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (50-28) host the Chicago Bulls (29-47) on Friday, April 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 96 – Knicks 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 28-9 at home and the Bulls are 11-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Knicks W1, Bulls L5).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.0 vs -3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.0 / CHI -3.8 per game
+8.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+11.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
53%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Bulls win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

CHINY
116.7
Points scored / game
116.7
121.1
Points allowed / game
110.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
27.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.4
Assists / game
26.8
9.0
Steals / game
7.2
4.8
Blocks / game
4.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1019pts / game
Tre JonesG · #308assists
Leonard MillerF · #116rebounds
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #831pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1110assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHINY
29-47Record50-28
116.7Points scored / game116.7
121.1Points allowed / game110.8
-3.8Adjusted margin / game+5.0
L5Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
11-26 roadHome / road record28-9 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.