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Knicks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
67% win NYwin CHI 33%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin5.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (24-33) host the New York Knicks (37-21) on Sunday, February 22 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 105 – Bulls 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 15-14 at home and the Knicks are 14-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Bulls and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Bulls L8, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 113 – 119 Knicks, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bulls and the Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs +4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.1 / NY +4.7 per game
-7.8
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-5.5

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Knicks win by 10+
36%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCHI
117.5
Points scored / game
116.6
112.0
Points allowed / game
120.3
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
35.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.8
Assists / game
24.4
7.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3228pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1415pts / game
Patrick WilliamsF · #448assists
Guerschon YabuseleF · #2813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYCHI
37-21Record24-33
117.5Points scored / game116.6
112.0Points allowed / game120.3
+4.7Adjusted margin / game-3.1
W1Current streakL8
7-3Last 10 games1-9
14-13 roadHome / road record15-14 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.