Timberwolves vs 76ers prediction NBA · Friday, April 3
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (42-34) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (46-30) on Friday, April 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 103 – 76ers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 21-17 at home and the Timberwolves are 21-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the 76ers and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: 76ers W1, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 115 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs +3.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINPHITop performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3021pts / game
Kyle AndersonF · #125assists
Rudy GobertC · #2716rebounds76ers
Paul GeorgeF · #1323pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2113reboundsRecent form
MINPHI
PHI
Team comparison
| MIN | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-30 | Record | 42-34 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 113.4 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| +3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 21-16 road | Home / road record | 21-17 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.