Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

76ers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
23% win PHIwin MIN 77%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin9.2
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (35-22) host the Philadelphia 76ers (30-26) on Sunday, February 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 135 – Timberwolves 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 20-10 at home and the 76ers are 15-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Timberwolves W3, 76ers L4).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 110 76ers, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.3 / PHI -1.1 per game
+5.3
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+9.2

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
76ers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIMIN
114.8
Points scored / game
118.8
116.1
Points allowed / game
113.7
42.8 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.4 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
77.5 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
51.6
24.6
Assists / game
27.0
9.8
Steals / game
9.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.6
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #039pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Andre DrummondC · #09rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #528pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #134assists
Anthony EdwardsG · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHIMIN
30-26Record35-22
114.8Points scored / game118.8
116.1Points allowed / game113.7
-1.1Adjusted margin / game+4.3
L4Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games7-3
15-11 roadHome / road record20-10 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.