Cavaliers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Thursday, April 2
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (36-40) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (47-29) on Thursday, April 2 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 118 – Warriors 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 21-16 at home and the Cavaliers are 23-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Warriors L2, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 114 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEGSTop performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4525pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #176assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3113reboundsWarriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #225pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #239assists
Gary Payton IIG · #012reboundsRecent form
CLEGS
GS
Team comparison
| CLE | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 47-29 | Record | 36-40 |
| 119.7 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 114.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 23-15 road | Home / road record | 21-16 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.