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Warriors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Saturday, December 6

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, NBC Sports BA, NBA TV
37% win GSwin CLE 63%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin4.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (14-10) host the Golden State Warriors (11-12) on Saturday, December 6 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 99 – Cavaliers 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 9-5 at home and the Warriors are 4-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Warriors L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 117 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.7 / GS +1.1 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCavaliers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+4.2

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Warriors win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

GSCLE
113.7
Points scored / game
120.4
112.4
Points allowed / game
114.9
45.0 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
36.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
82.2 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.6
Assists / game
26.3
9.6
Steals / game
8.8
3.8
Blocks / game
7.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Warriors
Pat SpencerG · #6119pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #617assists
Quinten PostC · #419rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4529pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #104assists
Nae'Qwan TomlinF · #3512rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

GSCLE
11-12Record14-10
113.7Points scored / game120.4
112.4Points allowed / game114.9
+1.1Adjusted margin / game+4.7
L2Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
4-9 roadHome / road record9-5 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.