Timberwolves vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, April 2
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (55-21) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (46-29) on Thursday, April 2 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 108 – Pistons 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 30-9 at home and the Timberwolves are 21-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Pistons W1, Timberwolves W1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 112 Timberwolves, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINDET
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3027pts / gameJulius RandleF · #306assists
Rudy GobertC · #277reboundsPistons
Daniss JenkinsG · #2426pts / game
Ausar ThompsonG · #99assists
Jalen DurenC · #014reboundsRecent form
MINDET
DET
Team comparison
| MIN | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-29 | Record | 55-21 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 113.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.2 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 21-15 road | Home / road record | 30-9 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.