Pistons vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, March 28
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-28) host the Detroit Pistons (53-20) on Saturday, March 28 at 5:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 109 – Timberwolves 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 25-13 at home and the Pistons are 24-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Pistons W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 115 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETMIN
Top performers
Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2318pts / game
Jalen DurenC · #05assistsJalen DurenC · #013reboundsTimberwolves
Donte DiVincenzoG · #022pts / game
Mike ConleyG · #456assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRecent form
DETMIN
DET
Team comparison
| DET | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 53-20 | Record | 45-28 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 117.7 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 24-11 road | Home / road record | 25-13 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.