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Cavaliers vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass
51% win CLEwin LAL 49%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (49-26) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (47-28) on Tuesday, March 31 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 113 – Lakers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 25-12 at home and the Cavaliers are 23-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Lakers and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Lakers W3, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 115 – 116 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers and the Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.6 / CLE +4.3 per game
-2.7
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-0.4

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

CLELAL
119.8
Points scored / game
116.2
114.8
Points allowed / game
114.4
46.8 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
39.2 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
79.3 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
38.0
26.3
Assists / game
24.0
8.8
Steals / game
10.8
7.5
Blocks / game
5.8
17.3
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3118pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Thomas BryantC · #36rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7742pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7712assists
Deandre AytonC · #89rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CLELAL
47-28Record49-26
119.8Points scored / game116.2
114.8Points allowed / game114.4
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+1.6
W2Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games9-1
23-14 roadHome / road record25-12 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.