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Lakers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN, Spectrum Sports Net
33% win LALwin CLE 67%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (28-20) host the Los Angeles Lakers (28-17) on Wednesday, January 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 99 – Cavaliers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 16-11 at home and the Lakers are 16-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Cavaliers W4, Lakers W2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.3 / LAL +0.2 per game
+3.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+5.4

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Lakers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

LALCLE
115.7
Points scored / game
119.6
115.4
Points allowed / game
115.7
52.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
39.2 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
79.1 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.0
Assists / game
26.3
10.8
Steals / game
8.8
5.8
Blocks / game
7.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7729pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #776assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #26rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4525pts / game
Jaylon TysonG · #206assists
Jarrett AllenC · #319rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

LALCLE
28-17Record28-20
115.7Points scored / game119.6
115.4Points allowed / game115.7
+0.2Adjusted margin / game+3.3
W2Current streakW4
5-5Last 10 games7-3
16-9 roadHome / road record16-11 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.