Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Knicks vs Rockets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · NBC, Peacock, DAZN (MSG)
47% win NYwin HOU 53%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin0.8
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (45-29) host the New York Knicks (49-27) on Tuesday, March 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 94 – Rockets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 25-10 at home and the Knicks are 21-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Rockets W2, Knicks L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Rockets 114 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +3.7 / NY +5.2 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+0.8

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

NYHOU
116.8
Points scored / game
114.4
110.7
Points allowed / game
110.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
35.9 %
3-point %
40.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.8
Assists / game
28.2
7.2
Steals / game
10.2
4.4
Blocks / game
6.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #328rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #727pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2810assists
Tari EasonF · #178rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYHOU
49-27Record45-29
116.8Points scored / game114.4
110.7Points allowed / game110.1
+5.2Adjusted margin / game+3.7
L2Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games5-5
21-18 roadHome / road record25-10 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.