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Rockets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21

FinalMadison Square Garden · ABC
41% win HOUwin NY 59%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin2.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (36-21) host the Houston Rockets (34-20) on Saturday, February 21 at 8:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 106 – Knicks 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 22-8 at home and the Rockets are 16-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Knicks L1, Rockets W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Rockets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 115 – 112 Rockets, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.7 / HOU +4.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+2.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Rockets win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUNY
114.4
Points scored / game
117.6
109.5
Points allowed / game
112.0
51.7 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
40.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
84.7 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
28.2
Assists / game
26.8
10.2
Steals / game
7.2
6.0
Blocks / game
4.4
15.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #730pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #17assists
Tari EasonF · #1712rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3225pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #116assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #327rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

HOUNY
34-20Record36-21
114.4Points scored / game117.6
109.5Points allowed / game112.0
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+4.7
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games7-3
16-13 roadHome / road record22-8 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.