Raptors vs Pistons prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (54-21) host the Toronto Raptors (42-32) on Tuesday, March 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 116 – Pistons 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 29-9 at home and the Raptors are 21-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Pistons L1, Raptors W2).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 115 – 110 Raptors, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.0 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORDET
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #924pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2312assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #3010reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #031pts / game
Tobias HarrisF · #236assistsJalen DurenC · #09reboundsRecent form
TORDET
DET
Team comparison
| TOR | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-32 | Record | 54-21 |
| 113.8 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 112.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 21-16 road | Home / road record | 29-9 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.