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Pistons vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, March 15

FinalScotiabank Arena · Sportsnet, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
59% win DETwin TOR 41%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin2.9
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (37-29) host the Detroit Pistons (48-18) on Sunday, March 15 at 3:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 108 – Raptors 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 18-16 at home and the Pistons are 22-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 6-4 for the Pistons (current streaks: Raptors W1, Pistons W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs +5.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.6 / DET +5.8 per game
-5.2
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
-2.9

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

DETTOR
117.1
Points scored / game
113.1
110.2
Points allowed / game
112.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
37.9 %
3-point %
30.4 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
45.8
27.0
Assists / game
27.3
8.0
Steals / game
14.3
7.2
Blocks / game
5.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #233pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #29assists
Jalen DurenC · #011rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #734pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1918rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETTOR
48-18Record37-29
117.1Points scored / game113.1
110.2Points allowed / game112.4
+5.8Adjusted margin / game+0.6
W3Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games4-6
22-10 roadHome / road record18-16 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.