Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Hornets vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31

FinalBarclays Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, WLNY
72% win CHAwin BKN 28%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin7.3
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (18-57) host the Charlotte Hornets (39-36) on Tuesday, March 31 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 117 – Nets 86. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 10-26 at home and the Hornets are 20-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Nets and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Nets W1, Hornets L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Hornets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nets 108 – 116 Hornets, a margin of about 7.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs +2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' offense (114.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.5 / CHA +2.1 per game
-9.6
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-7.3

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
8%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Hornets win by 10+
42%

Stat comparison Current season

CHABKN
114.6
Points scored / game
106.1
112.1
Points allowed / game
115.0
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
85.2 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
43.5
20.6
Assists / game
24.0
6.8
Steals / game
10.0
5.2
Blocks / game
4.0
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1412rebounds
Nets
Josh MinottF · #0014pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #104assists
Drake PowellG · #46rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHABKN
39-36Record18-57
114.6Points scored / game106.1
112.1Points allowed / game115.0
+2.1Adjusted margin / game-7.5
L2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games1-9
20-17 roadHome / road record10-26 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.