Nets vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22
FinalSpectrum Center · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN SE
48% win BKNwin CHA 52%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin0.6
Projected total218
ConfidenceLow
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets host the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday, October 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 117 – Hornets 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 52% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 110 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 218 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -7.7 / BKN -6.0 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+0.6
Scenarios
Hornets win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nets win by 10+
20%
Stat comparison Current season
BKNCHA
105.1105.1
112.2114.2
42.9 %41.7 %
36.7 %30.6 %
42.343.2
76.6 %85.2 %
43.547.4
24.020.6
10.06.8
4.05.2
17.519.0
Top performers
Nets
Nic ClaxtonC · #917pts / game
Michael Porter Jr.F · #175assists
Ben SarafG · #777reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Miles BridgesF · #2211reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKNNo games played yet.
CHANo games played yet.
BKN
Team comparison
| BKN | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 105.1 | Points scored / game | 105.1 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.2 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.7 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
No injuries reported.
Injury report Hornets
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.