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Suns vs Magic prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
42-34 · away
Final score
111-115
Projected: 111-114
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
40-35 · home
40% win PHXwin ORL 60%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin3.0
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (39-35) host the Phoenix Suns (42-33) on Tuesday, March 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 111 – Magic 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 23-15 at home and the Suns are 18-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Suns (current streaks: Magic L1, Suns W2).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 114 – 111 Suns, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.1 / PHX +1.0 per game
-0.9
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSuns played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+3.0

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Suns win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXORL
113.0
Points scored / game
114.0
111.8
Points allowed / game
113.8
45.6 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
31.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
73.9 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
41.3
25.3
Assists / game
26.0
8.7
Steals / game
7.8
5.3
Blocks / game
4.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1534pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #321pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXORL
42-33Record39-35
113.0Points scored / game114.0
111.8Points allowed / game113.8
+1.0Adjusted margin / game+0.1
W2Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games3-7
18-18 roadHome / road record23-15 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.