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Magic vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · FanDuel SN FL, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA TV
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
29-26 · away
Final score
110-113
Projected: 112-114
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
33-24 · home
42% win ORLwin PHX 58%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin2.4
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (32-24) host the Orlando Magic (29-25) on Saturday, February 21 at 5:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 110 – Suns 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 18-10 at home and the Magic are 11-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Suns L2, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 114 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.4 / ORL +0.3 per game
+0.1
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+2.4

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLPHX
113.5
Points scored / game
113.3
113.2
Points allowed / game
112.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
31.4 %
3-point %
31.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
75.0 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
39.7
26.0
Assists / game
25.3
7.8
Steals / game
8.7
4.5
Blocks / game
5.3
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #334pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Paolo BancheroF · #514rebounds
Suns
Grayson AllenG · #827pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #126assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

ORLPHX
29-25Record32-24
113.5Points scored / game113.3
113.2Points allowed / game112.8
+0.3Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W1Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
11-15 roadHome / road record18-10 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.