Pistons vs Thunder prediction NBA · Monday, March 30
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (59-16) host the Detroit Pistons (54-20) on Monday, March 30 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 110 – Thunder 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 31-7 at home and the Pistons are 25-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Thunder W2, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Thunder 115 – 111 Pistons, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETOKC
Top performers
Pistons
Paul ReedF · #721pts / game
Kevin HuerterG · #276assistsPaul ReedF · #710reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #247pts / game
Alex CarusoG · #94assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #613reboundsRecent form
DETOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| DET | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 54-20 | Record | 59-16 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 110.1 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 25-11 road | Home / road record | 31-7 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.