Thunder vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (42-14) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-14) on Wednesday, February 25 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 116 – Pistons 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 22-7 at home and the Thunder are 21-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Thunder (current streaks: Pistons L1, Thunder W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pistons 113 – 114 Thunder, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs +10.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCDET
Top performers
Thunder
Jaylin WilliamsF · #630pts / game
Aaron WigginsG · #26assistsJaylin WilliamsF · #611reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #029pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #213assistsJalen DurenC · #015reboundsRecent form
OKCDET
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-14 | Record | 42-14 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 107.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| +10.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 21-7 road | Home / road record | 22-7 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.