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Cavaliers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, March 30

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
47-28 · away
Final score
122-113
Projected: 123-115
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
21-55 · home
76% win CLEwin UTAH 24%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin8.9
Projected total238
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (21-54) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (46-28) on Monday, March 30 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 122 – Jazz 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 13-25 at home and the Cavaliers are 22-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Jazz and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Jazz L5, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 115 – 123 Cavaliers, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / CLE +4.2 per game
-11.2
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-8.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
7%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Cavaliers win by 10+
47%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEUTAH
119.7
Points scored / game
116.6
114.8
Points allowed / game
124.8
46.8 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
36.7 %
3-point %
33.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
79.3 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.8
Steals / game
5.0
7.5
Blocks / game
6.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #434pts / game
James HardenG · #114assists
Evan MobleyC · #417rebounds
Jazz
Cody WilliamsF · #926pts / game
Kyle FilipowskiF · #25assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CLEUTAH
46-28Record21-54
119.7Points scored / game116.6
114.8Points allowed / game124.8
+4.2Adjusted margin / game-7.0
W1Current streakL5
7-3Last 10 games1-9
22-14 roadHome / road record13-25 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.