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Jazz vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, January 12

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
14-25 · away
Final score
123-112
Projected: 113-126
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
22-19 · home
15% win UTAHwin CLE 85%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin13.0
Projected total240
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (22-18) host the Utah Jazz (13-25) on Monday, January 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 123 – Cavaliers 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 85% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 14-9 at home and the Jazz are 4-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 126 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 13.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 240 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.4 / UTAH -7.3 per game
+10.7
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+13.0

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
60%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Jazz win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHCLE
117.3
Points scored / game
120.4
125.9
Points allowed / game
116.4
45.4 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
33.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.8
Assists / game
26.3
5.0
Steals / game
8.8
6.4
Blocks / game
7.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #332pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #39assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3017rebounds
Cavaliers
Darius GarlandG · #1023pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHCLE
13-25Record22-18
117.3Points scored / game120.4
125.9Points allowed / game116.4
-7.3Adjusted margin / game+3.4
L1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games6-4
4-13 roadHome / road record14-9 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.