Knicks vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (58-16) host the New York Knicks (49-26) on Sunday, March 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 100 – Thunder 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 30-7 at home and the Knicks are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Thunder W1, Knicks L1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Thunder 117 – 110 Knicks, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.6 vs +5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYOKC
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1132pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #115assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3218reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / game
Ajay MitchellG · #255assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5513reboundsRecent form
NYOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| NY | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-26 | Record | 58-16 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 110.7 | Points allowed / game | 107.7 |
| +5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 21-17 road | Home / road record | 30-7 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.