Rockets vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (25-50) host the Houston Rockets (44-29) on Sunday, March 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 134 – Pelicans 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 16-22 at home and the Rockets are 19-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Pelicans L4, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 112 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +3.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUNO
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2836pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #287assists
Clint CapelaC · #3014reboundsPelicans
Dejounte MurrayG · #519pts / gameDejounte MurrayG · #56assists
Saddiq BeyG · #417reboundsRecent form
HOUNOHead-to-head
HOU lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-29 | Record | 25-50 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 110.2 | Points allowed / game | 119.3 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 19-19 road | Home / road record | 16-22 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.