Pelicans vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, March 13
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (40-25) host the New Orleans Pelicans (22-45) on Friday, March 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 105 – Rockets 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 22-8 at home and the Pelicans are 9-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Rockets L1, Pelicans W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 120 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.7 vs -4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOHOU
Top performers
Pelicans
Dejounte MurrayG · #535pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #257assists
Herbert JonesF · #29reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #732pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #18assistsAmen ThompsonG · #112reboundsRecent form
NOHOUHead-to-head
HOU lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| NO | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-45 | Record | 40-25 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 114.3 |
| 119.9 | Points allowed / game | 110.0 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 9-24 road | Home / road record | 22-8 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.