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Wizards vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29

FinalModa Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, BlazerVision
20% win WSHwin POR 80%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin10.6
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (37-38) host the Washington Wizards (17-56) on Sunday, March 29 at 6:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 88 – Trail Blazers 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 20-17 at home and the Wizards are 6-30 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Wizards L1).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers start with a clear edge. The model projects Trail Blazers 122 – 111 Wizards, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -1.3 / WSH -9.6 per game
+8.3
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+10.6

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
52%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Wizards win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHPOR
112.3
Points scored / game
114.6
123.5
Points allowed / game
116.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
28.5 %
3-point %
38.9 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
83.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.8
Assists / game
30.7
7.4
Steals / game
8.3
5.6
Blocks / game
2.7
13.6
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Wizards
Will RileyG · #2714pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #74assists
Julian ReeseF · #1313rebounds
Trail Blazers
Toumani CamaraF · #3323pts / game
Scoot HendersonG · #007assists
Toumani CamaraF · #337rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

WSHPOR
17-56Record37-38
112.3Points scored / game114.6
123.5Points allowed / game116.2
-9.6Adjusted margin / game-1.3
L1Current streakL1
1-9Last 10 games6-4
6-30 roadHome / road record20-17 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.