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Trail Blazers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 27

FinalCapital One Arena · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, MNMT
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
23-25 · away
Final score
111-115
Projected: 117-114
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
11-34 · home
62% win PORwin WSH 38%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin3.8
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (10-34) host the Portland Trail Blazers (23-24) on Tuesday, January 27 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 111 – Wizards 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 6-15 at home and the Trail Blazers are 10-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Wizards L9, Trail Blazers L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Wizards 114 – 117 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.5 / POR -1.8 per game
-7.7
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Wizards
-3.8

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

PORWSH
114.7
Points scored / game
111.3
116.8
Points allowed / game
122.5
51.1 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
38.9 %
3-point %
28.5 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
70.8 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
40.0
30.7
Assists / game
25.8
8.3
Steals / game
7.4
2.7
Blocks / game
5.6
13.3
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1731pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #55assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2320rebounds
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2029pts / game
Bilal CoulibalyG · #06assists
Alex SarrC · #2012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Jan 27POR111 - 115WSHMar 29WSH88 - 123POR

Team comparison

PORWSH
23-24Record10-34
114.7Points scored / game111.3
116.8Points allowed / game122.5
-1.8Adjusted margin / game-9.5
L2Current streakL9
6-4Last 10 games1-9
10-13 roadHome / road record6-15 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.