Celtics vs Hornets prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (39-35) host the Boston Celtics (49-24) on Sunday, March 29 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 114 – Hornets 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 19-18 at home and the Celtics are 23-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Hornets L1, Celtics W2).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 110 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+2.3 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSCHA
Top performers
Celtics
Jayson TatumF · #032pts / gameJayson TatumF · #08assists
Neemias QuetaC · #888reboundsHornets
LaMelo BallG · #119pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #244assistsBrandon MillerF · #246reboundsRecent form
BOSCHA
CHA
Team comparison
| BOS | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-24 | Record | 39-35 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 107.0 | Points allowed / game | 112.1 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 23-13 road | Home / road record | 19-18 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.