Hornets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (41-20) host the Charlotte Hornets (31-31) on Wednesday, March 4 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 118 – Celtics 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 20-9 at home and the Hornets are 17-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Celtics W3, Hornets W5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 116 – 107 Hornets, a margin of about 9.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.9 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHABOS
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #720pts / game
Coby WhiteG · #36assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149reboundsCeltics
Derrick WhiteG · #929pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #77assistsJaylen BrownG · #711reboundsRecent form
CHABOS
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-31 | Record | 41-20 |
| 114.3 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.9 |
| W5 | Current streak | W3 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 17-15 road | Home / road record | 20-9 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.