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Kings vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
39% win SACwin BKN 61%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin3.6
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (17-57) host the Sacramento Kings (19-56) on Sunday, March 29 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 99 – Nets 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 9-26 at home and the Kings are 6-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Nets and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: Nets L10, Kings L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Nets, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 114 – 111 Kings, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' offense (111.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.8 / SAC -7.5 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
+3.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Kings win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

SACBKN
111.5
Points scored / game
106.0
120.4
Points allowed / game
115.2
44.5 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
30.0 %
3-point %
36.7 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
73.1 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
43.5
22.8
Assists / game
24.0
6.8
Steals / game
10.0
2.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.3
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Kings
Devin CarterG · #9920pts / game
Killian HayesG · #37assists
Devin CarterG · #998rebounds
Nets
Ochai AgbajiG · #3018pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #106assists
Ben SarafG · #778rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACBKN
19-56Record17-57
111.5Points scored / game106.0
120.4Points allowed / game115.2
-7.5Adjusted margin / game-7.8
L3Current streakL10
4-6Last 10 games0-10
6-31 roadHome / road record9-26 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.