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Nets vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, March 22

FinalGolden 1 Center · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports CA
42% win BKNwin SAC 58%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin2.5
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (18-53) host the Brooklyn Nets (17-53) on Sunday, March 22 at 6:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 122 – Kings 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 12-25 at home and the Nets are 8-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Kings L2, Nets L6).

The analysis Model

The Kings are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 114 – 112 Nets, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' offense (111.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.3 / BKN -7.5 per game
+0.2
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+2.5

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Nets win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNSAC
106.0
Points scored / game
111.5
114.9
Points allowed / game
120.2
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.0 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
41.5
24.0
Assists / game
22.8
10.0
Steals / game
6.8
4.0
Blocks / game
2.5
17.5
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Nets
Ben SarafG · #7722pts / game
Ben SarafG · #775assists
Danny WolfF · #24rebounds
Kings
Malik MonkG · #032pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #108assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #915rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

BKNSAC
17-53Record18-53
106.0Points scored / game111.5
114.9Points allowed / game120.2
-7.5Adjusted margin / game-7.3
L6Current streakL2
2-8Last 10 games4-6
8-27 roadHome / road record12-25 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.