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Clippers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA TV
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
39-36 · away
Final score
127-113
Projected: 115-110
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
29-45 · home
66% win LACwin MIL 34%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin5.1
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (29-44) host the LA Clippers (38-36) on Sunday, March 29 at 3:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 127 – Bucks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 16-20 at home and the Clippers are 17-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Bucks L3, Clippers W4).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 110 – 115 Clippers, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.3 vs +1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -4.3 / LAC +1.5 per game
-5.8
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backBucks played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Bucks
-5.1

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Clippers win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

LACMIL
113.7
Points scored / game
111.1
111.9
Points allowed / game
116.2
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
39.0 %
3-point %
34.0 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
25.0
Assists / game
24.6
12.5
Steals / game
5.8
4.5
Blocks / game
4.0
23.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Clippers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2428pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1011assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds
Bucks
Gary Trent Jr.G · #536pts / game
Taurean PrinceF · #128assists
Taurean PrinceF · #126rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LACMIL
38-36Record29-44
113.7Points scored / game111.1
111.9Points allowed / game116.2
+1.5Adjusted margin / game-4.3
W4Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games2-8
17-21 roadHome / road record16-20 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.